The analysis of sugar cane processing in Kenya from 2014 to 2023, with a forecast stretching to 2028, demonstrates a significant decline. The actual value in 2023 stood at 3.39 million metric tons, showing a year-on-year decrease of 2.45%. Examining the past, from the peak of 5.28 million metric tons in 2015 to the steady downtrend with a significant drop of 35.51% in 2016, the industry has faced persistent challenges. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years also indicates a concerning average decline rate of 2.47% per year.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential policy reforms aimed at revitalizing the agricultural sector.
- Technological advancements in sugar cane processing.
- Impact of climate change on crop yield and processing efficiency.
- Possible shifts in global sugar demand and pricing.
- Government incentives and subsidies to support local producers.
