The forecast for Italy's imports of durum wheat indicates a steady increase from 2.54 million metric tons in 2024 to 2.69 million metric tons by 2028. As of 2023, the actual import was likely slightly below the 2024 projection of 2.54 million metric tons. The projected year-on-year growth is approximately 1.6%, and the CAGR over this period is about 1.41%, reflecting a modest upward trend driven by ongoing demand in Italy's pasta manufacturing sector.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Market fluctuations due to global supply chain adjustments or weather impacts on yield.
- Policy changes affecting trade dynamics within the EU and beyond.
- Shifts in consumer preferences impacting domestic production and import reliance.
