In 2023, the value of durum wheat subsidies in Italy was projected to be approximately slightly above 79 million euros. As per forecasts, there is a steady but minimal upward trend in subsidies from 2024 to 2028, with each year observing a slight increase in subsidy value. The year-on-year increase is marginal, maintaining an average annual growth rate of slightly over 0.1% as a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecasted period.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential policy changes in the European Union's agricultural support that could affect subsidy levels.
Impacts of climate change on durum wheat production and subsequent subsidy adjustments.
Market demand shifts for durum wheat driven by global pasta consumption.