In 2023, the demand for pelagic fish in Japan was recorded at 2.95 million metric tons. The forecasted data shows a gradual decline over the next five years, with values of 2.92 million metric tons in 2024, 2.89 million metric tons in 2025, 2.86 million metric tons in 2026, 2.83 million metric tons in 2027, and 2.80 million metric tons in 2028. The year-on-year variation from 2024 to 2025 is -1.03%, from 2025 to 2026 is -1.04%, from 2026 to 2027 is -1.05%, and from 2027 to 2028 is -1.06%. The CAGR from 2023 to 2028 shows an average annual decline of approximately 1.04%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of environmental changes on fish populations, technological advancements in fishing and aquaculture, consumer shifts towards other protein sources, and regulatory changes. Monitoring these factors could offer insights into further adjustments in pelagic fish demand in Japan.