The number of malaria cases in Ghana exhibited a notable increase from 2013 to 2023, rising from 1.6395 million cases to 6.414 million cases, marking a significant escalation. Year-on-year variations show sporadic shifts in growth rates, with notable peaks such as 108.36% in 2014 and declines like -13.9% in 2018. Notably, the last two years saw growth rates of 4.47% in 2022 and 4.19% in 2023, reflecting a consistent upward trend. Over the last five years, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) was approximately 5.93%, indicating steady growth.
Looking ahead, the projected data suggests a continued increase in malaria cases with a forecasted CAGR of 2.73% over the next five years, leading to an estimated 7.6292 million cases by 2028. This represents a cumulative growth rate of 14.43% from 2023 to 2028.
Future trends to monitor include potential impacts of enhanced malaria control measures, climate change effects on mosquito populations, and public health interventions. Keeping an eye on innovations in treatment and preventive strategies will also be crucial in forecasting outcomes accurately.
