The forecast for malaria cases in Ghana indicates a declining trend from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the number of malaria cases stood at 7.134 million. In 2024, the forecasted cases are 7.0346 million, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.39%. The trend continues with decreases of 1.39% in 2025 (6.937 million), 1.38% in 2026 (6.8414 million), 1.38% in 2027 (6.7476 million), and 1.39% in 2028 (6.6558 million). This results in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -1.46% from 2023 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of increased funding for malaria prevention, the introduction of new vaccines, and changes in climate and socioeconomic factors that could influence the incidence of malaria. Monitoring these elements will be crucial for sustaining and possibly accelerating the downward trend in malaria cases.