The total malaria incidence rate in Angola has shown a general upward trend over the years. From 2013 to 2023, the incidence rate increased from 180.9 to 246.84 Unit Ratios. The annual year-on-year variations fluctuated, with notable increases occurring in 2015 (6.41%) and 2016 (10.0%), while the growth rate in recent years has stabilized around 1.42% in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period leading up to 2023 was 1.52%, indicating a steady, albeit slow, rise in malaria cases.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Continued but gradually slowing increase in malaria incidence rates, with a forecasted five-year CAGR of 1.01% leading up to 2028.
- Potential impacts of new malaria intervention strategies, health policies, and environmental factors that could alter current projections.
