The forecasted data indicates a steady decline in reported confirmed malaria cases in India from 2024 to 2028. The number of cases is expected to decrease from 550.03 thousand in 2024 to 353.00 thousand in 2028.
In 2023, the reported confirmed cases stood higher, post which the forecast suggests consistent year-on-year reductions: 9.2% decrease between 2024 and 2025, 10% reduction from 2025 to 2026, a further 10.8% decrease from 2026 to 2027, and a 12% decline from 2027 to 2028. The overall compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period is approximately -11%.
Future trends to watch include the impact of enhanced disease prevention measures and improved healthcare access on reducing malaria cases. Ongoing climatic changes and vector resistance developments could also influence these projections significantly.