The incidence of malaria in Indonesia has shown a significant decline from 2013 to 2023, decreasing from 6.04 cases per thousand persons at risk in 2013 to 2.76 in 2023. This represents a consistent downward trend over the last decade, although with some fluctuations. For instance, between 2015 and 2016 there was a slight increase of 3.51%, while from 2018 to 2023, the incidence steadily decreased. The year-on-year variation for 2022-2023 was a decrease of 3.58%, reflecting a continued decline in cases. The 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is predicted to be -3.23% moving forward, suggesting better control and preventative measures for malaria.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of new malaria control programs, climate change, and potential developments in medical treatments and vaccines. Maintaining funding and support for preventive measures will be critical to sustain and further this downward trend.
