Forecast: Centrifugal Sugar Supply in China

The forecast for China's centrifugal sugar supply from 2024-2028 shows a steady increase from 16.76 to 17.02 million metric tons. In 2023, the supply stood at 16.70 million metric tons. The year-on-year growth rate from 2024 to 2025 is approximately 0.42%, with the rate gradually increasing to 0.35% annually by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period is around 0.37%, reflecting consistent but modest growth.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Opportunity for expanding domestic production driven by policy support and technological advancements.
  • Impact of potential trade policies and tariffs on international sugar imports and exports.
  • Consumer trend shifts towards alternative sweeteners affecting traditional sugar demand.

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