Over the past decade, Germany's pork production has generally shown a fluctuating but slightly declining trend. Starting from 5.53 million metric tons in 2014, the production peaked marginally in 2016 at 5.59 million metric tons. Post-2016, the trend showed a gradual decline, reaching 5.36 million metric tons in 2023, underscoring a negligible year-on-year decrease of 0.2%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was -0.041%, reinforcing the slight downward trend.
Significant fluctuations included a notable decline in 2020 by 5.21% and a recovery of 5.05% in 2021. However, post-2021 data shows a relatively stable yet marginally declining pattern until 2023.
Looking ahead, forecasts indicate a continued but gradual decrease in production, with a forecasted CAGR of -0.18% over the next five years, reaching around 5.3 million metric tons by 2028. This points towards a trend of slight reduction in the pork production industry in Germany.
Future trends to watch for include shifts in consumer preferences towards plant-based diets, changes in export markets, and the impact of environmental regulations on livestock farming. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anticipating long-term shifts in Germany’s pork production sector.
