The import of fresh or chilled swine cuts to Germany is forecasted to decrease slightly over the period from 2024 to 2028, with a decline from 262.15 million kilograms in 2024 to 257.61 million kilograms in 2028. This represents a minimal year-on-year decline of approximately 0.5%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period points to a steady, albeit slight, decrease in imports. In 2023, imports stood at a higher volume, as the indication is a gradual downward trend in the upcoming years.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in trade policies, changing consumer preferences towards alternative protein sources, and possible impacts of health regulations or disease outbreaks affecting swine production and trade. Additionally, economic factors such as shifts in currency exchange rates and Germany’s economic growth trajectory could also influence import volumes.