In 2023, the number of malaria reported confirmed cases in South Africa stood at 20.07 thousand cases. Forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 indicates a steady increase in the number of cases, reaching 22.8 thousand cases by 2028. This represents year-on-year increases of approximately 2.71% from 2024 to 2025, 2.60% from 2025 to 2026, 2.48% from 2026 to 2027, and 2.38% from 2027 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this five-year period is around 2.60% per year.
Future trends to watch for include evaluating the effectiveness of malaria intervention programs, changes in healthcare infrastructure, climate changes affecting mosquito populations, and government policies towards malaria control. Monitoring these factors will be essential to understanding their impacts on the projected trends.
