Forecast: Number of Malaria Reported Confirmed Cases in Angola

The number of reported confirmed malaria cases in Angola in 2023 stood at approximately 4.994 million, indicating a year-on-year increase of 3.88%. Over the past decade, we observe significant fluctuations in the annual growth rates of malaria cases, which peaked with a 37.01% increase in 2016. The 5-year CAGR from 2018 to 2023 is 4.43%, showcasing a trend of slowing growth in recent years.

In the future, the forecasted data indicates continued growth in the number of malaria cases, with a projected 5-year CAGR of 2.56% from 2023 to 2028, leading to an estimated total of 5.874 million cases in 2028. This suggests a gradual decline in the growth rate when compared to previous years.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of enhanced malaria prevention initiatives, advancements in medical treatments, and potential socioeconomic changes that could either alleviate or exacerbate the spread of the disease in Angola.

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