In 2023, the number of malaria cases in India stood at 6.5 million. Moving forward, the forecasted data reveals a consistent decline in the number of cases from 2024 to 2028. In 2024, the estimated number of cases is 5.867 million, representing a year-on-year decline of 9.74%. This trend continues with values of 5.2437 million in 2025 (-10.63% YoY), 4.6329 million in 2026 (-11.64% YoY), 4.0342 million in 2027 (-12.92% YoY), and 3.4476 million in 2028 (-14.57% YoY). When assessing the compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the average variation per year over the last five years indicates a decrease of 12.3% annually.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of new healthcare initiatives, changing climatic conditions, and the emergence of drug-resistant malaria strains. Continuous monitoring and adaptive response strategies will be crucial to sustaining the downward trajectory in malaria cases.
