Forecast: Share of Aquaculture in the Netherlands

The share of aquaculture in the Netherlands showed a declining trend from 23.1% in 2013 to 15.56% in 2023. Despite a brief improvement in 2018, the overall Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) between 2013 and 2023 has been negative. Year-on-year analysis indicates fluctuating declines, particularly the significant drop in 2016. From 2019 to 2023, the rate of decline decelerated, averaging around -1.8% per year.

Looking ahead, forecasts for 2024 and beyond suggest a continued decrease, with a projected CAGR of -1.6% over the next five years. By 2028, the share is expected to fall to 14.07%.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Technological advancements in sustainable aquaculture practices.
  • Policy changes at the national or EU level that may either support or hinder aquaculture activities.
  • Market demand shifts influenced by consumer preferences for sustainably sourced fish.
  • Impact of climate change on aquaculture viability and productivity.

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