The forecasted number of malaria cases reported in South Africa for 2024 is 12.91 thousand cases, showing a gradual increase from the 2023 actual figure. For 2025, 2026, 2027, and 2028, the figures are projected at 13.06, 13.2, 13.35, and 13.49 thousand cases respectively. This indicates a steady year-on-year increase, with variations between 1.16% to 1.32% annually.

Despite the increase, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is relatively modest, averaging approximately 1.18% per year.

Future trends to watch for:

Implementation and effectiveness of malaria prevention and control programs.
Potential impacts of climate change, particularly increased temperatures and rainfall variations, which may affect mosquito populations.
Development and accessibility of new medical treatments and vaccines.
Socioeconomic changes that influence public health infrastructure and access to healthcare.