Analyzing the incidence of malaria in Ghana from 2013 to 2023 reveals a consistent downward trend. In 2023, the incidence stood at 163.08 cases per thousand persons at risk. Over the last two years, the reduction rate slowed significantly, showing a year-on-year decline of 0.37% in 2023. The average annual decrease over the previous five years was a modest -1.08% per year.
The trend is forecasted to continue its slow decline, with a five-year CAGR of -0.21% from 2024 to 2028, suggesting a slight improvement in malaria control. By 2028, the incidence rate is projected to further reduce to 160.87 cases per thousand persons at risk.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of new malaria control programs, potential changes in climate affecting mosquito populations, and the efficacy of any newly introduced vaccines or treatments. Continued monitoring and agile adaptation to these factors will be essential for maintaining the downward trend in malaria incidence.
