The forecast for the import of live swine, weighing less than 50 kg but excluding pure-bred breeding swine, to the UK from 2024 to 2028 shows a gradual decline. In 2024, the import value is projected to be 88.22 thousand units. By 2028, the import value is predicted to decrease slightly to 86.9 thousand units. The year-on-year decline is around 0.36% on average. Comparatively, the CAGR over the five-year period marks a similar decreasing trend. In 2023, the imports were at a comparable level, indicating a steady decline trajectory.
Future trends to monitor include:
- Potential impact of changes in trade agreements post-Brexit, which may affect agricultural imports.
- Fluctuations in domestic swine production impacting import needs.
- Any regulatory changes concerning livestock imports for health or environmental reasons.
- Shifts in consumer demand for pork products, influencing import volumes.
