Forecast: Total Aquaculture Production in Japan

Total aquaculture production in Japan is forecasted to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028. In 2024, production is expected to be 885.58 thousand metric tons, decreasing by 1.8% to 869.88 thousand metric tons in 2025. The downward trend continues with a 1.8% dip in 2026 to 854.49 thousand metric tons, followed by a 1.8% decrease in 2027 to 839.4 thousand metric tons and a 1.8% drop in 2028 to 824.62 thousand metric tons.

Year-on-year variation in percentage for the last two years:

  • 2024 to 2025: -1.8%
  • 2025 to 2026: -1.7%
  • 2026 to 2027: -1.8%
  • 2027 to 2028: -1.8%

Analyzing over a five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average annual decline of approximately 1.8% from 2024 to 2028.

In 2023, Japan's total aquaculture production was 901.43 thousand metric tons. The consistent decrease in production numbers suggests potential future challenges for the aquaculture industry, such as environmental factors, market demand shifts, and resource management issues.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Technological advancements in sustainable aquaculture practices.
  • Impact of climate change on marine and freshwater aquaculture.
  • Government policies and regulations affecting production capacity.
  • Global market demand and competition influencing export dynamics.

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