In 2023, the US import of tobacco refuse stood at 13.401 million kilograms. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent decline in import volume. Year-on-year variations show a decrease of approximately 8% annually. Specifically, from 2024 to 2025, the reduction is about 8.01%, continuing similarly each year through 2028. Over five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) signals an average annual decrease of 8.56%.
Future trends to watch for include shifts in regulatory policies that may further suppress tobacco usage and imports, evolving consumer health preferences, and potential innovations in tobacco product alternatives which could impact demand negatively.