In 2023, unmanufactured tobacco production in Japan stood at 11.10 thousand metric tons. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 demonstrates a consistent decline, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of approximately -16% over this period. Specific year-on-year decreases are notable: -15.6% from 2024 to 2025, -18.1% from 2025 to 2026, -21.8% from 2026 to 2027, and -27.1% from 2027 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential policy changes impacting tobacco cultivation.
Shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative nicotine products, affecting demand.
Impact of sustainability initiatives on agricultural practices within the industry.