The forecast for tobacco consumption in Brazil among individuals aged 15 and older, who are daily smokers, indicates a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. The percentage is expected to decrease from 8.2% in 2024 to 7.3% in 2028. Compared to the earlier period, this reflects a continuation of a downward trend, signifying a decrease in smoking prevalence. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years highlights this gradual reduction in consumption.

Future trends to watch for include:

Increased regulatory measures and public health initiatives aimed at further reducing smoking rates.
The potential impact of alternative nicotine products like e-cigarettes and their role in smoking cessation or initiation.
Socio-cultural shifts and their influence on smoking habits among younger demographics.