In 2023, China's wheat production stood at approximately 137.1 million metric tons. The forecasts from 2024 to 2028 show a steady increase, reaching 143.1 million metric tons by 2028. This represents an average year-on-year growth of just under 1% from 2024 onward and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 0.84% over the five-year period.

Future trends to watch for:

Advancements in agricultural technology may further boost yield efficiency.
Climate change impacts on weather patterns could affect future forecasts.
Policy changes regarding agriculture and subsidies might influence production levels.
Global market demands and trade agreements will play a crucial role in determining export levels.