In 2023, the raw tobacco production in Italy was estimated at approximately 33.85 thousand metric tons. The forecast data from 2024 to 2028 shows a declining trend with significant decreases year-on-year: 9.4% from 2024 to 2025, 10.1% from 2025 to 2026, 11.0% from 2026 to 2027, and 12.1% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) projects an average decline of 9.5% per year over these five years, signaling potential industry challenges ahead.

Future trends to watch for include:

Policy changes in Italy and the EU related to tobacco production and consumption.
Shifts in global tobacco demand and competitive landscape.
Innovations and diversification within the Italian agribusiness sector.
Climate change implications on agricultural production capacities.