The forecast for the import of unmanufactured tobacco to Germany indicates a modest decline over the next five years. In 2023, actual import value was slightly above 862 million USD. Starting from 2024, the forecast shows a gradual decrease: a drop to 856.22 million USD in 2025 and continuing down to 839.1 million USD by 2028. The year-on-year variation over the last two years suggests a consistent downward trend, averaging out to an approximate annual decrease of 0.5% over five years.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Changes in tobacco regulations and health policies which could further impact import levels.
- Potential shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative tobacco products or nicotine delivery methods.
- Economic factors influencing purchasing power and production costs in the global tobacco trade.