In 2023, Italy's import of tobacco and derivative products for substitution and extraction was substantial. From 2024 onwards, a consistent increase is projected, with annual growth rates reflecting modest yet steady expansion. Over the next five years, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) provides a measure for average annual change. Specifically, notable is the steady progression from 2024 to 2028, where each year sees approximately a 1% rise in import volume, totaling an increase of around 4.6% over the period.

Looking ahead, several trends should be monitored:

The impact of regulatory changes in the EU on tobacco-related imports and consumption.
The potential growth of alternative tobacco products, which may affect traditional tobacco imports.
The role of health campaigns potentially curbing tobacco consumption, influencing import demand.