The number of malaria cases reported in Angola has exhibited significant growth from 2013 to 2023, reaching approximately 6.27 million cases in 2023. From 2013 to 2018, there was a remarkable uptick, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) peaking at 20.95% in 2017. The growth pace decelerated post-2018, with the latest 5-year CAGR dropping to 4.01% by 2023.
From 2024 onwards, projections suggest a continuation of this growth, although at a more moderated rate, leading to an anticipated 15.84% increase by 2028. The expected 5-year CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is estimated at 2.99%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Effectiveness of malaria prevention initiatives and treatments
- Impact of public health policies and funding
- Technological advancements in malaria diagnostics and treatment
- Adaptation of the malaria parasite to existing treatments