Forecast: Malaria Cases Reported in Angola

The number of malaria cases reported in Angola has exhibited significant growth from 2013 to 2023, reaching approximately 6.27 million cases in 2023. From 2013 to 2018, there was a remarkable uptick, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) peaking at 20.95% in 2017. The growth pace decelerated post-2018, with the latest 5-year CAGR dropping to 4.01% by 2023.

From 2024 onwards, projections suggest a continuation of this growth, although at a more moderated rate, leading to an anticipated 15.84% increase by 2028. The expected 5-year CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is estimated at 2.99%.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Effectiveness of malaria prevention initiatives and treatments
  • Impact of public health policies and funding
  • Technological advancements in malaria diagnostics and treatment
  • Adaptation of the malaria parasite to existing treatments

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