The fresh cheese production in Italy has demonstrated moderate growth between 2013 and 2023, peaking at 582.69 thousand metric tons in 2021, then slightly fluctuating to 571.59 in 2022 and rebounding to 581.25 in 2023. Year-on-year growth has varied, showing both increases and decreases; most notably, a decline in 2022 followed by a recovery in 2023.
Over the last two years, the year-on-year variation was a decrease of 1.9% in 2022, followed by an increase of 1.69% in 2023. The five-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) up to 2023 was relatively low at 0.68% due to these fluctuations.
Forecasts predict continued moderate growth, with production expected to reach 599.5 thousand metric tons by 2028. This growth will be gradual, with a forecasted five-year CAGR of 0.48% and an overall growth rate of 2.42% from 2024 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in consumer preferences towards specialty cheeses, impacts of evolving EU agricultural policies, and the influence of technological advancements in dairy production and supply chain efficiencies.
