The forecast for the import of cigarettes containing tobacco or mixtures into Italy from 2024 to 2028 indicates a steady decline. Starting at 48.933 billion items in 2024, the imports are expected to decrease annually, reaching 39.348 billion items by 2028. This suggests a clear downward trend averaging a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -5.31% over this period. As of 2023, the import volume was higher than 48.933 billion items, emphasizing the consistent decline anticipated in the coming years.

Key future trends to watch for include:

Impact of anti-smoking regulations and public health campaigns on cigarette imports.
Potential shifts towards alternative tobacco products or substitutes as consumer preferences change.
Economic factors that could affect disposable income and consequently, tobacco consumption.