Cheese production in Italy has exhibited fluctuating trends over the past decade. Between 2013 and 2020, production saw several declines, most notably in 2015 and 2016, with year-on-year declines of 6.73% and 6.54%, respectively. This period marked an overall negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Production rebounded slightly in 2017 and again in 2021, with a year-on-year increase of 4.2% and 5.07%, respectively. However, the past two years (2022 and 2023) have seen minor declines, with year-on-year drops of 0.18% and 0.17%. In 2023, Italy's cheese production stood at 1.1256 million metric tons.
Looking forward, data forecasts a continuing slight decline in cheese production, with a forecasted CAGR of -0.15% over the next five years, reaching 1.1153 million metric tons by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include shifts in consumer preferences towards plant-based alternatives, changes in global trade policies affecting exports, and the impact of climate change on dairy farming and cheese production. Additionally, innovations within the dairy industry and advancements in production technologies could influence future production levels.